Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 28Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Landskrona IP
Landskrona BoIS
6th · 44 pts1–1FULL TIME
Varbergs BoIS FC
3rd · 48 pts47% Landskrona
24% Draw
29% Varbergs
OUR PICK
Landskrona BoIS to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.23
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.13X4.1123.48
Goals 2.5Over1.83Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.75NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.83
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.75
GG
57%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
Landskrona BoISVarbergs BoIS FC1.6Goals per game1.7
1.2Conceded per game1.3
1.57Points per game1.66
43%Win rate45%
13Goal difference11
10Form, last 5 (pts)7
Landskrona BoIS form
DLWWWH Varbergs BoIS FC1–1
A Falkenbergs FF4–3
H Sandviken3–2
A United Nordic1–4
H GIF Sundsvall4–0
Varbergs BoIS FC form
DDDDH Ljungskile SK2–2
A Landskrona BoIS1–1
H Helsingborg0–0
A Ostersunds FK1–1
Head to head
2
Landskrona
1
Draw
2
Varbergs
Oct 2026Landskrona BoIS – Varbergs BoIS FC1–1
Jun 2026Varbergs BoIS FC – Landskrona BoIS2–3
Oct 2025Landskrona BoIS – Varbergs BoIS FC2–1
May 2025Varbergs BoIS FC – Landskrona BoIS4–2
Aug 2024Landskrona BoIS – Varbergs BoIS FC1–4
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Oddevold29+1245
6Landskrona BoIS28+1344
7Osters IF28+142
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes Landskrona BoIS slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.64 for Landskrona BoIS, 1.23 for Varbergs BoIS FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Landskrona BoIS sit 6th on 44 points; Varbergs BoIS FC are 3rd on 48.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.