Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
77%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026
Laci
8th · 11 pts13:30KICK-OFF WAT
Partizani
10th · 7 pts53% Laci
24% Draw
24% Partizani
OUR PICK
Laci to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.90
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.09
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.90X4.2224.21
Goals 2.5Over1.86Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
LaciPartizani1.0Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game2.1
1.10Points per game0.70
30%Win rate20%
-4Goal difference-10
4Form, last 5 (pts)3
Laci form
LDWLLA AF Elbasani2–1
A Skenderbeu Korce1–1
H Vora1–0
A Tirana1–0
H Egnatia Rrogozhinë0–2
Partizani form
WLLLLA Teuta Durrës0–1
A AF Elbasani2–1
H Skenderbeu Korce0–2
A Vora4–1
H Tirana1–3
Head to head
1
Laci
2
Draw
2
Partizani
Aug 2026Partizani – Laci1–2
Mar 2025Partizani – Laci1–0
Feb 2025Partizani – Laci2–1
Feb 2025Laci – Partizani0–0
Feb 2025Laci – Partizani0–0
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë10+1124
2Teuta Durrës10+1020
3Dinamo Tirana10+317
4AF Elbasani10+114
5Tirana10-112
6Vora10-412
7Skenderbeu Korce10-111
8Laci10-411
9Vllaznia Shkodër10-59
10Partizani10-107
Match preview
Our model makes Laci slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.90 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.74 for Laci, 1.09 for Partizani), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Laci sit 8th on 11 points; Partizani are 10th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.