Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 6Sunday, 11 October 2026
Laci
6th · 11 pts0–2FULL TIME
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1st · 24 pts26% Laci
25% Draw
49% Egnatia
OUR PICK
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.03
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.61
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.85X4.0322.03
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.87NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.87
GG
53%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
LaciEgnatia Rrogozhinë1.0Goals per game2.0
1.4Conceded per game0.9
1.10Points per game2.40
30%Win rate80%
-4Goal difference11
4Form, last 5 (pts)12
Laci form
LDWLLA AF Elbasani2–1
A Skenderbeu Korce1–1
H Vora1–0
A Tirana1–0
H Egnatia Rrogozhinë0–2
Egnatia Rrogozhinë form
WWLDWA Tirana1–2
H Teuta Durrës1–0
A Dinamo Tirana2–1
A Aarhus1–1
H Vllaznia Shkodër3–1
Head to head
1
Laci
1
Draw
3
Egnatia
Oct 2026Laci – Egnatia Rrogozhinë0–2
Mar 2025Laci – Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–1
Jan 2025Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Laci1–0
Oct 2024Laci – Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–0
Aug 2024Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Laci2–1
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë10+1124
2Teuta Durrës9+1120
3Dinamo Tirana9+316
4AF Elbasani10+114
5Tirana10-112
6Laci10-411
7Skenderbeu Korce10-111
8Vora9-411
9Vllaznia Shkodër10-59
10Partizani9-114
Match preview
Our model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.03 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.10 for Laci, 1.61 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Laci sit 6th on 11 points; Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 1st on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.