Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
NOR2. Division - Group 2 · Matchday 23Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Rolvsrud stadion
Lørenskog
6th · 40 pts3–3FULL TIME
Trygg/Lade
14th · 10 pts71% Lørenskog
16% Draw
13% Trygg/Lade
OUR PICK
Lørenskog to win
Model probability 71% · fair odds
1.40
Expected goals
2.58 – 1.00
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.40X6.1527.99
Goals 2.5Over1.44Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
58%
Double chance@1.14
1X
87%
Season stats
LørenskogTrygg/Lade1.7Goals per game1.2
1.7Conceded per game2.5
1.54Points per game0.38
46%Win rate8%
0Goal difference-36
7Form, last 5 (pts)1
Lørenskog form
WWLDLH Follo3–2
A Ull/Kisa0–4
H Kjelsås2–3
H Trygg/Lade3–3
A Grorud4–0
Trygg/Lade form
LLLDLH Rana0–1
A Kjelsås5–0
H Stjørdals-Blink2–4
A Lørenskog3–3
H Junkeren1–2
Head to head
1
Lørenskog
1
Draw
0
Trygg/Lade
Oct 2026Lørenskog – Trygg/Lade3–3
Jun 2026Trygg/Lade – Lørenskog1–4
2. Division - Group 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Eidsvold26+3660
2Kjelsås26+2859
3Levanger26+3255
4Grorud26+2149
5Hønefoss26+2049
6Lørenskog26040
7Stjørdals-Blink26+139
8Tromsdalen Uil26+438
9Junkeren26-834
10Rana26-833
Match preview
Our model makes Lørenskog clear favourites, giving them a 71% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.40 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.58 for Lørenskog, 1.00 for Trygg/Lade), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Lørenskog sit 6th on 40 points; Trygg/Lade are 14th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.