Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
JPNJ1 League · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
Kyoto Sanga
14th · 13 pts2–0FULL TIME
Shimizu S-pulse
13th · 14 pts49% Kyoto
25% Draw
26% Shimizu
OUR PICK
Kyoto Sanga to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.03
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.08
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.03X4.0023.87
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.00
Both scoreGG1.90NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@2.00
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.90
GG
53%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Kyoto SangaShimizu S-pulse1.3Goals per game0.8
1.8Conceded per game1.7
1.00Points per game1.08
23%Win rate31%
-6Goal difference-12
5Form, last 5 (pts)4
Kyoto Sanga form
No recent matches.
Shimizu S-pulse form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Kyoto
0
Draw
0
Shimizu
These sides haven't met recently.
J1 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Tokyo13+2330
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima13+2229
3Machida Zelvia13+2028
4Kashiwa Reysol13+1028
5Vissel Kobe13+926
6Kashima13+723
7Kawasaki Frontale13+522
8Yokohama F. Marinos13+621
9Urawa13-621
10Fagiano Okayama13-616
Match preview
Our model makes Kyoto Sanga slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.03 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.59 for Kyoto Sanga, 1.08 for Shimizu S-pulse), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kyoto Sanga sit 14th on 13 points; Shimizu S-pulse are 13th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.