Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 22Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Halden Stadion
Kvik Halden
8th · 37 pts2–3FULL TIME
Bjarg
2nd · 54 pts28% Kvik
25% Draw
47% Bjarg
OUR PICK
Bjarg to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.12
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.61
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.54X4.0522.12
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.80NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.80
GG
56%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Kvik HaldenBjarg1.4Goals per game2.3
1.4Conceded per game1.2
1.42Points per game2.08
42%Win rate65%
1Goal difference29
3Form, last 5 (pts)13
Kvik Halden form
WLLLLH Pors Grenland3–1
A Eik-Tønsberg3–0
H Vidar0–2
A Sotra3–0
H Bjarg2–3
Bjarg form
DWWWWA Sandviken0–0
H jerv4–0
A Brattvåg1–4
H Notodden5–2
A Kvik Halden2–3
Head to head
1
Kvik
0
Draw
1
Bjarg
Oct 2026Kvik Halden – Bjarg2–3
Apr 2026Bjarg – Kvik Halden1–2
2. Division - Group 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1jerv26+3059
2Bjarg26+2954
3Mjondalen26+1653
4Brattvåg26+2051
5Sotra26+3048
6Notodden26+838
7Træff26-638
8Kvik Halden26+137
9Arendal26-631
10Pors Grenland26-530
Match preview
Our model makes Bjarg slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.12 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.19 for Kvik Halden, 1.61 for Bjarg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kvik Halden sit 8th on 37 points; Bjarg are 2nd on 54.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.