Over 1.5 goals@1.07
Over 1.5
94%
BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Het Kuipje
KVC Westerlo
8th · 14 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Charleroi
4th · 24 pts34% KVC
19% Draw
47% Charleroi
OUR PICK
Charleroi to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.12
Expected goals
2.06 – 2.44
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.98X5.2022.12
Goals 2.5Over1.21Under5.55
Both scoreGG1.26NG4.72
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.21
Over 2.5
83%
Both teams to score@1.26
GG
80%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
Season stats
KVC WesterloCharleroi2.5Goals per game2.1
2.5Conceded per game1.2
1.40Points per game2.40
40%Win rate80%
0Goal difference9
10Form, last 5 (pts)12
KVC Westerlo form
LDWWWA Anderlecht4–1
H SK Beveren4–4
H Patro Eisden2–0
H Antwerp5–1
A St. Truiden0–2
Charleroi form
WLWWWH RAAL La Louvière5–2
A Antwerp3–0
A Albert Quévy-Mons0–1
A Standard Liege0–1
H Cercle Brugge3–2
Head to head
3
KVC
0
Draw
2
Charleroi
May 2026Charleroi – KVC Westerlo0–1
Apr 2026KVC Westerlo – Charleroi2–0
Feb 2026KVC Westerlo – Charleroi2–1
Nov 2025Charleroi – KVC Westerlo2–0
May 2025Charleroi – KVC Westerlo4–3
Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent10+1325
4Charleroi10+924
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7Lommel United10+215
8KVC Westerlo10014
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
Match preview
Our model makes Charleroi slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.12 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.5 goals in total (2.06 for KVC Westerlo, 2.44 for Charleroi), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
KVC Westerlo sit 8th on 14 points; Charleroi are 4th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.