Over 1.5 goals@1.06
Over 1.5
95%
BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 8Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Het Kuipje
KVC Westerlo
8th · 14 pts5–1FULL TIME
Antwerp
11th · 10 pts48% KVC
19% Draw
33% Antwerp
OUR PICK
KVC Westerlo to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.09
Expected goals
2.55 – 2.14
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.09X5.3222.99
Goals 2.5Over1.18Under6.29
Both scoreGG1.23NG4.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.18
Over 2.5
85%
Both teams to score@1.23
GG
81%
Double chance@1.23
12
81%
Season stats
KVC WesterloAntwerp2.5Goals per game1.6
2.5Conceded per game2.2
1.40Points per game1.00
40%Win rate30%
0Goal difference-6
10Form, last 5 (pts)3
KVC Westerlo form
LDWWWA Anderlecht4–1
H SK Beveren4–4
H Patro Eisden2–0
H Antwerp5–1
A St. Truiden0–2
Antwerp form
LWWLLA Cercle Brugge2–1
H Charleroi3–0
A Heist0–1
A KVC Westerlo5–1
H Union St. Gilloise0–2
Head to head
3
KVC
0
Draw
2
Antwerp
Oct 2026KVC Westerlo – Antwerp5–1
May 2026Antwerp – KVC Westerlo2–0
Apr 2026KVC Westerlo – Antwerp2–4
Feb 2026Antwerp – KVC Westerlo0–2
Aug 2025KVC Westerlo – Antwerp2–0
Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent10+1325
4Charleroi10+924
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7Lommel United10+215
8KVC Westerlo10014
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
Match preview
Our model makes KVC Westerlo slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.09 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.7 goals in total (2.55 for KVC Westerlo, 2.14 for Antwerp), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
KVC Westerlo sit 8th on 14 points; Antwerp are 11th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.