Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 10Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne
KV Mechelen
13th · 9 pts1–0FULL TIME
Genk
6th · 15 pts28% KV
23% Draw
48% Genk
OUR PICK
Genk to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.07
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.75
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.53X4.2622.07
Goals 2.5Over1.71Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.67NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.67
GG
60%
Double chance@1.31
12
77%
Season stats
KV MechelenGenk1.1Goals per game1.8
1.9Conceded per game1.4
1.00Points per game1.50
22%Win rate40%
-7Goal difference4
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
KV Mechelen form
No recent matches.
Genk form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
KV
0
Draw
0
Genk
These sides haven't met recently.
Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent9+1525
4Charleroi9+621
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7KVC Westerlo10014
8Lommel United9012
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
Match preview
Our model makes Genk slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.07 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.29 for KV Mechelen, 1.75 for Genk), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
KV Mechelen sit 13th on 9 points; Genk are 6th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.