Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Tammelan Stadion
KuPS
34th · 0 pts2–4FULL TIME
Trabzonspor
4th · 6 pts27% KuPS
26% Draw
48% Trabzonspor
OUR PICK
Trabzonspor to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.10
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.52
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.74X3.9022.10
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.92
Both scoreGG1.95NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.95
GG
51%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
KuPSTrabzonspor1.0Goals per game3.0
3.0Conceded per game1.0
0.00Points per game3.00
0%Win rate100%
-4Goal difference4
0Form, last 5 (pts)6
KuPS form
LDDLWA AC Oulu2–0
H Gnistan1–1
A HJK Helsinki2–2
A Borac Banja Luka2–0
H VPS2–0
Trabzonspor form
WWWWWH Gaziantep FK2–0
A Rizespor3–4
H Heart Of Midlothian2–0
H Beşiktaş2–0
A KuPS2–4
Head to head
0
KuPS
0
Draw
1
Trabzonspor
Oct 2026KuPS – Trabzonspor2–4
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model makes Trabzonspor slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.10 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.07 for KuPS, 1.52 for Trabzonspor), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
KuPS sit 34th on 0 points; Trabzonspor are 4th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.