Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Tammelan Stadion
KuPS
34th · 0 pts18:45KICK-OFF WAT
Gent
17th · 3 pts36% KuPS
26% Draw
38% Gent
OUR PICK
Gent to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.60
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.38
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.80X3.8722.60
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.82NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.82
GG
55%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
KuPSGent1.0Goals per game0.5
3.0Conceded per game1.0
0.00Points per game1.50
0%Win rate50%
-4Goal difference-1
0Form, last 5 (pts)3
KuPS form
LDDLWA AC Oulu2–0
H Gnistan1–1
A HJK Helsinki2–2
A Borac Banja Luka2–0
H VPS2–0
Gent form
LWLDWA Lommel United2–0
H Anderlecht4–0
A SC Braga2–0
A Rochefort3–3
H Aarhus1–0
Head to head
0
KuPS
0
Draw
0
Gent
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: KuPS 36%, the draw 26%, Gent 38%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.60 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.32 for KuPS, 1.38 for Gent), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
KuPS sit 34th on 0 points; Gent are 17th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.