Over 1.5 goals@1.54
Over 1.5
65%
NGANPFL · Matchday 12Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kun Khalifat FC
16th · 12 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Kano Pillars
4th · 18 pts26% Kun
28% Draw
46% Kano
OUR PICK
Kano Pillars to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.18
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.31
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.86X3.5422.18
Goals 2.5Over2.48Under1.62
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Under 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.77
NG
56%
Double chance@1.35
X2
74%
Season stats
Kun Khalifat FCKano Pillars0.8Goals per game1.3
1.5Conceded per game1.0
1.09Points per game1.64
27%Win rate36%
-7Goal difference3
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Kun Khalifat FC form
LWDWLA Enyimba1–0
H Inter Lagos1–0
A Doma United1–1
H Shooting Stars2–0
A Niger Tornadoes1–0
Kano Pillars form
WDWLDH Nasarawa United2–0
A Warri Wolves0–0
H Katsina United1–0
A Plateau United4–0
A Shooting Stars0–0
Head to head
1
Kun
0
Draw
1
Kano
May 2026Kun Khalifat FC – Kano Pillars2–1
Dec 2025Kano Pillars – Kun Khalifat FC2–1
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model makes Kano Pillars slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.18 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (0.91 for Kun Khalifat FC, 1.31 for Kano Pillars), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kun Khalifat FC sit 16th on 12 points; Kano Pillars are 4th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.