NGANPFL · Matchday 10Sunday, 25 October 2026

Kun Khalifat FC

16th · 12 pts

1–0FULL TIME

Inter Lagos

20th · 2 pts

56% Kun

25% Draw

20% Inter

OUR PICK

Kun Khalifat FC to win

Model probability 56% · fair odds

1.80

Expected goals

1.63 – 0.86

Confidence

Medium

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.80X4.0525.06

Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.83

Both scoreGG2.05NG1.87

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.41

Over 1.5

71%

Over/Under 2.5@1.83

Under 2.5

55%

Both teams to score@1.87

54%

Double chance@1.25

80%

Season stats

Kun Khalifat FCInter Lagos

0.9Goals per game0.5

1.5Conceded per game1.9

1.20Points per game0.20

30%Win rate10%

-6Goal difference-14

10Form, last 5 (pts)1

Kun Khalifat FC form

LWDWL

A Enyimba1–0

H Inter Lagos1–0

A Doma United1–1

H Shooting Stars2–0

A Niger Tornadoes1–0

Inter Lagos form

DLLLD

H Ranchers Bees1–1

A Kun Khalifat FC1–0

H Nasarawa United0–2

A Warri Wolves3–1

H Katsina United1–1

Head to head

Kun

Draw

Inter

Oct 2026Kun Khalifat FC – Inter Lagos1–0

NPFL table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Rivers United10+1017

2Enugu Rangers8+517

3Nasarawa United10+317

4Barau FC11+316

5Niger Tornadoes11+116

6Plateau United10+415

7Bendel Insurance9+215

8Sporting Lagos9+215

9Kano Pillars10+115

10Doma United10015

Match preview

Our model makes Kun Khalifat FC clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.80 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.63 for Kun Khalifat FC, 0.86 for Inter Lagos), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Kun Khalifat FC sit 16th on 12 points; Inter Lagos are 20th on 2.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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