Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 12Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Avangard
Kudrivka
16th · 5 pts12:00KICK-OFF WAT
Chornomorets
9th · 9 pts29% Kudrivka
25% Draw
45% Chornomorets
OUR PICK
Chornomorets to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.21
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.53
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.41X3.9522.21
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.84NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.84
GG
54%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
KudrivkaChornomorets1.0Goals per game0.8
2.6Conceded per game1.2
0.45Points per game0.90
9%Win rate20%
-18Goal difference-4
3Form, last 5 (pts)5
Kudrivka form
LLWLLA Karpaty5–0
A Dynamo Kyiv3–1
H Bukovyna4–1
A LNZ Cherkasy2–1
A Veres Rivne2–1
Chornomorets form
WDLLDA Veres Rivne1–3
H Karpaty0–0
A Zorya Luhansk2–1
H FC Kharkiv1–2
H Obolon'-Brovar1–1
Head to head
0
Kudrivka
0
Draw
0
Chornomorets
These sides haven't met recently.
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3Dynamo Kyiv10+722
4FC Kharkiv9+1121
5Karpaty11+1419
6Zorya Luhansk11018
7LNZ Cherkasy10+115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi11-59
Match preview
Our model makes Chornomorets slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.21 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.18 for Kudrivka, 1.53 for Chornomorets), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kudrivka sit 16th on 5 points; Chornomorets are 9th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.