Over 1.5 goals@1.58
Over 1.5
63%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 9Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Obolon Arena
Kudrivka
16th · 5 pts4–1FULL TIME
Bukovyna
11th · 9 pts24% Kudrivka
28% Draw
48% Bukovyna
OUR PICK
Bukovyna to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.08
Expected goals
0.83 – 1.32
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.25X3.5322.08
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.57
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.70
NG
59%
Double chance@1.31
X2
76%
Season stats
KudrivkaBukovyna1.1Goals per game0.7
2.4Conceded per game1.2
0.50Points per game0.90
10%Win rate10%
-13Goal difference-5
3Form, last 5 (pts)2
Kudrivka form
LWLLLA Dynamo Kyiv3–1
H Bukovyna4–1
A LNZ Cherkasy2–1
A Veres Rivne2–1
H Kolos Kovalivka2–3
Bukovyna form
WDLDDA Livyi Bereh0–1
H Kryvbas KR0–0
A Kudrivka4–1
H Polessya2–2
H Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0–0
Head to head
2
Kudrivka
0
Draw
1
Bukovyna
Oct 2026Kudrivka – Bukovyna4–1
May 2025Kudrivka – Bukovyna2–0
Apr 2025Bukovyna – Kudrivka1–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3FC Kharkiv9+1121
4Dynamo Kyiv9+519
5Karpaty10+916
6LNZ Cherkasy10+115
7Zorya Luhansk10-115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10-49
Match preview
Our model makes Bukovyna slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.08 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (0.83 for Kudrivka, 1.32 for Bukovyna), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kudrivka sit 16th on 5 points; Bukovyna are 11th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.