Over 1.5 goals@1.71
Over 1.5
59%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 9Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Hirnyk Stadium
Kryvbas KR
15th · 6 pts0–3FULL TIME
LNZ Cherkasy
6th · 15 pts38% Kryvbas
31% Draw
31% LNZ
OUR PICK
Kryvbas KR to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.60
Expected goals
1.06 – 0.91
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.60X3.2223.27
Goals 2.5Over2.95Under1.46
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.64
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Under 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.64
NG
61%
Double chance@1.44
1X
69%
Season stats
Kryvbas KRLNZ Cherkasy0.9Goals per game1.0
1.6Conceded per game0.9
0.75Points per game1.50
13%Win rate40%
-6Goal difference1
2Form, last 5 (pts)10
Kryvbas KR form
DDLLLA Zorya Luhansk1–1
A Bukovyna0–0
H LNZ Cherkasy0–3
A Obolon'-Brovar1–0
A Shakhtar Donetsk3–0
LNZ Cherkasy form
LDWWH Metal Kharkiv0–1
A Livyi Bereh0–0
A Kryvbas KR0–3
H Kudrivka2–1
Head to head
0
Kryvbas
0
Draw
0
LNZ
These sides haven't met recently.
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3FC Kharkiv9+1121
4Dynamo Kyiv9+519
5Karpaty10+916
6LNZ Cherkasy10+115
7Zorya Luhansk10-115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10-49
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Kryvbas KR 38%, the draw 31%, LNZ Cherkasy 31%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.60 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.06 for Kryvbas KR, 0.91 for LNZ Cherkasy), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kryvbas KR sit 15th on 6 points; LNZ Cherkasy are 6th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.