Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 11Monday, 2 November 2026 · Hirnyk Stadium
Kryvbas KR
15th · 6 pts12:00KICK-OFF WAT
Dynamo Kyiv
4th · 19 pts23% Kryvbas
25% Draw
52% Dynamo
OUR PICK
Dynamo Kyiv to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.59
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.34X3.9821.93
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.89
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.98
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
51%
Double chance@1.30
X2
77%
Season stats
Kryvbas KRDynamo Kyiv0.9Goals per game1.6
1.6Conceded per game1.0
0.75Points per game2.11
13%Win rate67%
-6Goal difference5
2Form, last 5 (pts)12
Kryvbas KR form
DDLLLA Zorya Luhansk1–1
A Bukovyna0–0
H LNZ Cherkasy0–3
A Obolon'-Brovar1–0
A Shakhtar Donetsk3–0
Dynamo Kyiv form
LWLWWA Shakhtar Donetsk3–0
H Kudrivka3–1
A Polessya3–1
H Karpaty1–0
A Zorya Luhansk0–2
Head to head
0
Kryvbas
0
Draw
5
Dynamo
Apr 2026Kryvbas KR – Dynamo Kyiv5–6
Oct 2025Dynamo Kyiv – Kryvbas KR4–0
Apr 2025Kryvbas KR – Dynamo Kyiv0–2
Oct 2024Dynamo Kyiv – Kryvbas KR2–1
May 2024Dynamo Kyiv – Kryvbas KR3–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3FC Kharkiv9+1121
4Dynamo Kyiv9+519
5Karpaty10+916
6LNZ Cherkasy10+115
7Zorya Luhansk10-115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10-49
Match preview
Our model makes Dynamo Kyiv slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.93 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (0.97 for Kryvbas KR, 1.59 for Dynamo Kyiv), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kryvbas KR sit 15th on 6 points; Dynamo Kyiv are 4th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.