Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 26Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Kristiansund Stadion
Kristiansund BK
15th · 23 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Valerenga
8th · 32 pts32% Kristiansund
22% Draw
46% Valerenga
OUR PICK
Valerenga to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.18
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.86
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.15X4.4622.18
Goals 2.5Over1.52Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.52NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.52
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.52
GG
66%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
Kristiansund BKValerenga1.2Goals per game1.7
2.0Conceded per game1.8
0.92Points per game1.28
24%Win rate36%
-22Goal difference-3
4Form, last 5 (pts)10
Kristiansund BK form
WLDLLA Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4
H Aalesund0–2
H KFUM Oslo2–2
H Aalesund1–4
A Bodo/Glimt3–1
Valerenga form
WLWWLH Tromso4–0
A Sarpsborg 08 FF3–2
A Bodo/Glimt0–1
H Brann3–1
A KFUM Oslo2–1
Head to head
1
Kristiansund
0
Draw
4
Valerenga
May 2026Valerenga – Kristiansund BK3–1
Nov 2025Valerenga – Kristiansund BK3–0
Apr 2025Kristiansund BK – Valerenga0–2
Dec 2023Valerenga – Kristiansund BK0–2
Dec 2023Kristiansund BK – Valerenga0–2
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
Match preview
Our model makes Valerenga slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.18 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.52 for Kristiansund BK, 1.86 for Valerenga), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kristiansund BK sit 15th on 23 points; Valerenga are 8th on 32.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.