Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 24Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kristiansund Stadion
Kristiansund BK
15th · 23 pts1–4FULL TIME
Aalesund
14th · 24 pts43% Kristiansund
22% Draw
35% Aalesund
OUR PICK
Kristiansund BK to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.33
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.70
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.33X4.5722.84
Goals 2.5Over1.44Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.44NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.44
GG
69%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Kristiansund BKAalesund1.2Goals per game1.7
2.0Conceded per game2.3
0.92Points per game0.96
24%Win rate20%
-22Goal difference-14
4Form, last 5 (pts)6
Kristiansund BK form
WLDLLA Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4
H Aalesund0–2
H KFUM Oslo2–2
H Aalesund1–4
A Bodo/Glimt3–1
Aalesund form
LWLWLH Sandefjord3–4
A Kristiansund BK0–2
A Sarpsborg 08 FF2–1
A Kristiansund BK1–4
H Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4
Head to head
0
Kristiansund
1
Draw
4
Aalesund
Oct 2026Kristiansund BK – Aalesund0–2
Oct 2026Kristiansund BK – Aalesund1–4
Jun 2026Kristiansund BK – Aalesund0–3
Apr 2026Aalesund – Kristiansund BK1–1
Jan 2026Aalesund – Kristiansund BK1–0
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Kristiansund BK 43%, the draw 22%, Aalesund 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.33 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.89 for Kristiansund BK, 1.70 for Aalesund), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kristiansund BK sit 15th on 23 points; Aalesund are 14th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.