Over 1.5 goals@1.50
Over 1.5
66%
BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 9Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Guldensporen Stadion
Kortrijk
18th · 4 pts20:30KICK-OFF WAT
KV Mechelen
14th · 9 pts25% Kortrijk
28% Draw
48% KV
OUR PICK
KV Mechelen to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.10
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.37
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.01X3.6322.10
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.66
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.80
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.80
NG
55%
Double chance@1.33
X2
75%
Season stats
KortrijkKV Mechelen0.3Goals per game1.1
2.1Conceded per game1.9
0.44Points per game1.00
11%Win rate22%
-16Goal difference-7
4Form, last 5 (pts)7
Kortrijk form
DLDWLA Standard Liege1–1
A Genk3–0
A Heist2–2
H SK Beveren1–0
A RAAL La Louvière3–0
KV Mechelen form
WWWLDH Genk1–0
H AS Eupen5–1
H St. Truiden4–3
H Karpaty2–3
A Lommel United0–0
Head to head
1
Kortrijk
0
Draw
4
KV
Nov 2024Kortrijk – KV Mechelen3–1
Oct 2024KV Mechelen – Kortrijk3–0
Feb 2024KV Mechelen – Kortrijk3–0
Nov 2023Kortrijk – KV Mechelen0–3
Jan 2023KV Mechelen – Kortrijk3–2
Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent10+1325
4Charleroi10+924
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7Lommel United10+215
8KVC Westerlo10014
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
Match preview
Our model makes KV Mechelen slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.10 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (0.91 for Kortrijk, 1.37 for KV Mechelen), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kortrijk sit 18th on 4 points; KV Mechelen are 14th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.