Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 12Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Exbud Arena
Korona Kielce
10th · 18 pts1–0FULL TIME
GKS Katowice
6th · 21 pts28% Korona
23% Draw
49% GKS
OUR PICK
GKS Katowice to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.05
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.81
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.54X4.3522.05
Goals 2.5Over1.65Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
62%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Korona KielceGKS Katowice1.1Goals per game1.9
1.5Conceded per game1.5
1.38Points per game1.62
38%Win rate54%
-5Goal difference6
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
Korona Kielce form
LLWLLA Zaglebie Lubin1–0
A Polonia Warszawa2–1
H GKS Katowice1–0
A Lech Poznan6–1
A Pogon Szczecin2–0
GKS Katowice form
WLLLWH Widzew Łódź3–2
A Górnik Łęczna1–0
A Korona Kielce1–0
H Pogon Szczecin0–1
H Wieczysta Kraków2–1
Head to head
3
Korona
1
Draw
1
GKS
Oct 2026Korona Kielce – GKS Katowice1–0
Apr 2026Korona Kielce – GKS Katowice1–1
Oct 2025GKS Katowice – Korona Kielce1–0
May 2025Korona Kielce – GKS Katowice2–1
Nov 2024GKS Katowice – Korona Kielce1–2
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin12+824
5Zaglebie Lubin13+122
6GKS Katowice13+621
7Piast Gliwice13+421
8Wisla Krakow13+221
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce13-518
Match preview
Our model makes GKS Katowice slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.05 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.33 for Korona Kielce, 1.81 for GKS Katowice), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Korona Kielce sit 10th on 18 points; GKS Katowice are 6th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.