Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 7Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Medas Konya Büyüksehir Belediyesi Stadium
Konyaspor
15th · 8 pts0–0FULL TIME
Başakşehir
10th · 14 pts29% Konyaspor
25% Draw
46% Başakşehir
OUR PICK
Başakşehir to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.18
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.54
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.46X3.9622.18
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.85NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.85
GG
54%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
KonyasporBaşakşehir0.6Goals per game1.7
1.3Conceded per game1.6
0.80Points per game1.40
20%Win rate40%
-7Goal difference1
5Form, last 5 (pts)10
Konyaspor form
LWLDDH Galatasaray0–4
H Gençlerbirliği S.K.2–0
A Amed1–0
H Başakşehir0–0
H Palestine2–2
Başakşehir form
WLWDWH Samsunspor5–2
A Beşiktaş2–0
H Gaziantep FK2–1
A Konyaspor0–0
H Gençlerbirliği S.K.4–0
Head to head
2
Konyaspor
1
Draw
2
Başakşehir
Oct 2026Konyaspor – Başakşehir0–0
Feb 2026Başakşehir – Konyaspor2–0
Sept 2025Konyaspor – Başakşehir2–1
Apr 2025Başakşehir – Konyaspor1–0
Nov 2024Konyaspor – Başakşehir3–2
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Başakşehir slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.18 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.17 for Konyaspor, 1.54 for Başakşehir), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Konyaspor sit 15th on 8 points; Başakşehir are 10th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.