Over 1.5 goals@1.07
Over 1.5
93%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 27Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Gjemselund Stadion
Kongsvinger
3rd · 59 pts4–0FULL TIME
Sandnes ULF
13th · 30 pts75% Kongsvinger
14% Draw
12% Sandnes
OUR PICK
Kongsvinger to win
Model probability 75% · fair odds
1.34
Expected goals
3.13 – 1.23
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.34X7.2828.52
Goals 2.5Over1.24Under4.97
Both scoreGG1.48NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.24
Over 2.5
81%
Both teams to score@1.48
GG
68%
Double chance@1.13
1X
88%
Season stats
KongsvingerSandnes ULF2.9Goals per game1.4
1.6Conceded per game2.0
2.11Points per game1.03
64%Win rate28%
37Goal difference-16
9Form, last 5 (pts)5
Kongsvinger form
LLWLWA Pors Grenland3–1
A Sogndal3–1
H Sandnes ULF4–0
A Stromsgodset5–1
H Ranheim6–2
Sandnes ULF form
DWLLDA ODD Ballklubb3–3
H Lyn2–1
A Kongsvinger4–0
A Stabaek4–1
H Haugesund1–1
Head to head
5
Kongsvinger
0
Draw
0
Sandnes
Oct 2026Kongsvinger – Sandnes ULF4–0
Jul 2026Sandnes ULF – Kongsvinger1–6
Aug 2024Kongsvinger – Sandnes ULF1–0
May 2024Sandnes ULF – Kongsvinger0–2
Oct 2023Kongsvinger – Sandnes ULF4–0
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger28+3759
4Stabaek28+3255
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Kongsvinger clear favourites, giving them a 75% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.4 goals in total (3.13 for Kongsvinger, 1.23 for Sandnes ULF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kongsvinger sit 3rd on 59 points; Sandnes ULF are 13th on 30.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.