Over 1.5 goals@1.03
Over 1.5
97%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 25Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Gjemselund Stadion
Kongsvinger
3rd · 59 pts6–2FULL TIME
Ranheim
7th · 41 pts68% Kongsvinger
15% Draw
18% Ranheim
OUR PICK
Kongsvinger to win
Model probability 68% · fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
3.50 – 1.88
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.48X6.9025.58
Goals 2.5Over1.11Under9.43
Both scoreGG1.22NG5.24
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.11
Over 2.5
90%
Both teams to score@1.22
GG
82%
Double chance@1.17
12
85%
Season stats
KongsvingerRanheim2.9Goals per game2.5
1.6Conceded per game2.4
2.11Points per game1.41
64%Win rate41%
37Goal difference4
9Form, last 5 (pts)10
Kongsvinger form
LLWLWA Pors Grenland3–1
A Sogndal3–1
H Sandnes ULF4–0
A Stromsgodset5–1
H Ranheim6–2
Ranheim form
WLWWDH Sogndal2–1
H Fredrikstad2–5
A Raufoss1–3
H Bryne4–2
A hodd1–1
Head to head
1
Kongsvinger
3
Draw
1
Ranheim
Oct 2026Kongsvinger – Ranheim6–2
May 2026Ranheim – Kongsvinger1–1
Aug 2025Kongsvinger – Ranheim1–1
May 2025Ranheim – Kongsvinger2–1
Aug 2024Ranheim – Kongsvinger2–2
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger28+3759
4Stabaek28+3255
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Kongsvinger clear favourites, giving them a 68% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 5.4 goals in total (3.50 for Kongsvinger, 1.88 for Ranheim), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kongsvinger sit 3rd on 59 points; Ranheim are 7th on 41.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.