Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 11Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Kolos Stadium
Kolos Kovalivka
8th · 11 pts12:00KICK-OFF WAT
Polessya
2nd · 25 pts20% Kolos
21% Draw
59% Polessya
OUR PICK
Polessya to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
1.10 – 2.02
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.96X4.7121.71
Goals 2.5Over1.66Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.25
X2
80%
Season stats
Kolos KovalivkaPolessya1.3Goals per game2.3
1.4Conceded per game0.8
1.22Points per game2.50
33%Win rate80%
-1Goal difference15
9Form, last 5 (pts)13
Kolos Kovalivka form
WLWLA Veres Rivne0–2
A Shakhtar Donetsk2–1
H Epitsentr Dunayivtsi3–1
H Zorya Luhansk1–2
Polessya form
WWWDH Novyi Rozdil2–0
H Obolon'-Brovar3–0
H Dynamo Kyiv3–1
A Bukovyna2–2
Head to head
1
Kolos
2
Draw
2
Polessya
Feb 2026Kolos Kovalivka – Polessya0–2
Oct 2025Polessya – Kolos Kovalivka2–1
Aug 2025Polessya – Kolos Kovalivka0–1
Apr 2025Kolos Kovalivka – Polessya1–1
Oct 2024Polessya – Kolos Kovalivka1–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3FC Kharkiv9+1121
4Dynamo Kyiv9+519
5Karpaty10+916
6LNZ Cherkasy10+115
7Zorya Luhansk10-115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10-49
Match preview
Our model makes Polessya clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.10 for Kolos Kovalivka, 2.02 for Polessya), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kolos Kovalivka sit 8th on 11 points; Polessya are 2nd on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.