Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 10Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu
Kocaelispor
8th · 16 pts0–0FULL TIME
Rizespor
13th · 11 pts53% Kocaelispor
25% Draw
21% Rizespor
OUR PICK
Kocaelispor to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.58 – 0.90
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.88X3.9624.66
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.82
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.82
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.89
NG
53%
Double chance@1.27
1X
79%
Season stats
KocaelisporRizespor1.1Goals per game1.1
0.9Conceded per game1.5
1.60Points per game1.10
50%Win rate30%
2Goal difference-4
7Form, last 5 (pts)2
Kocaelispor form
DWWLLH Rizespor0–0
H Mazıdağı Fosfatspor3–0
A Alanyaspor1–2
H Göztepe1–2
A Beşiktaş2–1
Rizespor form
DLLLWA Kocaelispor0–0
H Trabzonspor3–4
A Çorum FK2–1
H Fenerbahçe0–3
H Boluspor3–0
Head to head
1
Kocaelispor
2
Draw
1
Rizespor
Oct 2026Kocaelispor – Rizespor0–0
Feb 2026Rizespor – Kocaelispor2–0
Sept 2025Kocaelispor – Rizespor1–1
Jul 2021Rizespor – Kocaelispor2–3
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Kocaelispor clear favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.88 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.58 for Kocaelispor, 0.90 for Rizespor), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kocaelispor sit 8th on 16 points; Rizespor are 13th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.