TURSüper Lig · Matchday 8Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu

Kocaelispor

8th · 16 pts

1–2FULL TIME

Göztepe

9th · 15 pts

47% Kocaelispor

25% Draw

28% Göztepe

OUR PICK

Kocaelispor to win

Model probability 47% · fair odds

2.14

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.15

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.14X3.9823.56

Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93

Both scoreGG1.85NG2.05

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.33

Over 1.5

75%

Over/Under 2.5@1.97

Over 2.5

51%

Both teams to score@1.85

54%

Double chance@1.34

75%

Season stats

KocaelisporGöztepe

1.1Goals per game2.1

0.9Conceded per game1.7

1.60Points per game1.50

50%Win rate40%

2Goal difference4

7Form, last 5 (pts)13

Kocaelispor form

DWWLL

H Rizespor0–0

H Mazıdağı Fosfatspor3–0

A Alanyaspor1–2

H Göztepe1–2

A Beşiktaş2–1

Göztepe form

WWWWD

A Fenerbahçe1–2

H Çorum FK2–0

A Kocaelispor1–2

A Eyüpspor0–4

H Rizespor2–2

Head to head

Kocaelispor

Draw

Göztepe

Oct 2026Kocaelispor – Göztepe1–2

Apr 2026Kocaelispor – Göztepe1–1

Nov 2025Göztepe – Kocaelispor0–0

Apr 2024Kocaelispor – Göztepe3–2

Nov 2023Göztepe – Kocaelispor0–1

Süper Lig table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Galatasaray10+1125

2Amed10+1423

3Trabzonspor10+1622

4Beşiktaş10+819

5Kasımpaşa10+417

6Fenerbahçe10+1416

7Çorum FK10+516

8Kocaelispor10+216

9Göztepe10+415

10Başakşehir10+114

Match preview

Our model makes Kocaelispor slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.14 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.56 for Kocaelispor, 1.15 for Göztepe), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Kocaelispor sit 8th on 16 points; Göztepe are 9th on 15.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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