Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
NOR2. Division - Group 2 · Matchday 23Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Grefsen Stadion
Kjelsås
2nd · 59 pts2–0FULL TIME
Rana
10th · 33 pts69% Kjelsås
16% Draw
14% Rana
OUR PICK
Kjelsås to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.44
Expected goals
2.71 – 1.18
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.44X6.1726.98
Goals 2.5Over1.34Under3.63
Both scoreGG1.55NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.34
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.55
GG
65%
Double chance@1.17
1X
86%
Season stats
KjelsåsRana2.4Goals per game1.5
1.3Conceded per game1.8
2.27Points per game1.27
73%Win rate38%
28Goal difference-8
15Form, last 5 (pts)6
Kjelsås form
WWWWWA Hønefoss1–2
H Trygg/Lade5–0
A Lørenskog2–3
H Rana2–0
A Ull/Kisa1–2
Rana form
WLLLWA Trygg/Lade0–1
H Tromsdalen Uil0–4
A Levanger3–1
A Kjelsås2–0
H Eidsvold2–1
Head to head
3
Kjelsås
1
Draw
0
Rana
Oct 2026Kjelsås – Rana2–0
Jul 2026Rana – Kjelsås2–3
Sept 2025Rana – Kjelsås0–3
Jun 2025Kjelsås – Rana2–2
2. Division - Group 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Eidsvold26+3660
2Kjelsås26+2859
3Levanger26+3255
4Grorud26+2149
5Hønefoss26+2049
6Lørenskog26040
7Stjørdals-Blink26+139
8Tromsdalen Uil26+438
9Junkeren26-834
10Rana26-833
Match preview
Our model makes Kjelsås clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (2.71 for Kjelsås, 1.18 for Rana), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kjelsås sit 2nd on 59 points; Rana are 10th on 33.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.