Over 1.5 goals@1.57
Over 1.5
64%
HUNNB I · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Varkert Stadium
Kisvarda FC
10th · 12 pts18:45KICK-OFF WAT
Puskas Academy
2nd · 21 pts36% Kisvarda
29% Draw
35% Puskas
OUR PICK
Kisvarda FC to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.77
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.07
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.77X3.4022.89
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.59
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.78
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.78
NG
56%
Double chance@1.42
12
71%
Season stats
Kisvarda FCPuskas Academy1.0Goals per game1.4
1.2Conceded per game1.3
1.00Points per game1.75
17%Win rate58%
-2Goal difference2
3Form, last 5 (pts)9
Kisvarda FC form
LLDDDA Budapest Honved1–0
A Pécsi MFC4–2
A Zalaegerszegi TE1–1
H Ferencvarosi TC1–1
A Vasas1–1
Puskas Academy form
LWLWWH Debreceni VSC1–3
A Diosgyori VTK1–2
H Nyiregyhaza1–2
A Ujpest0–1
A Gyori ETO FC0–1
Head to head
3
Kisvarda
0
Draw
2
Puskas
Jul 2026Puskas Academy – Kisvarda FC0–2
Mar 2026Kisvarda FC – Puskas Academy1–0
Nov 2025Puskas Academy – Kisvarda FC2–0
Aug 2025Kisvarda FC – Puskas Academy2–1
May 2024Puskas Academy – Kisvarda FC4–2
NB I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Gyori ETO FC12+722
2Puskas Academy12+221
3Ferencvarosi TC11+1020
4Debreceni VSC12+419
5Ujpest12+318
6Paks12+117
7Vasas12+316
8Budapest Honved11-313
9Zalaegerszegi TE12-613
10Kisvarda FC12-212
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Kisvarda FC 36%, the draw 29%, Puskas Academy 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.77 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.10 for Kisvarda FC, 1.07 for Puskas Academy), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kisvarda FC sit 10th on 12 points; Puskas Academy are 2nd on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.