Over 1.5 goals@1.52
Over 1.5
66%
HUNNB I · Matchday 10Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Varkert Stadium
Kisvarda FC
10th · 12 pts1–1FULL TIME
Ferencvarosi TC
3rd · 20 pts25% Kisvarda
28% Draw
47% Ferencvarosi
OUR PICK
Ferencvarosi TC to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.35
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.96X3.6022.13
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.65
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.79
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.79
NG
56%
Double chance@1.34
X2
75%
Season stats
Kisvarda FCFerencvarosi TC1.0Goals per game1.8
1.2Conceded per game0.9
1.00Points per game1.82
17%Win rate45%
-2Goal difference10
3Form, last 5 (pts)9
Kisvarda FC form
LLDDDA Budapest Honved1–0
A Pécsi MFC4–2
A Zalaegerszegi TE1–1
H Ferencvarosi TC1–1
A Vasas1–1
Ferencvarosi TC form
WWWWDH Paks2–0
A Bicskei1–4
H MTK Budapest5–0
H Torreense4–1
A Kisvarda FC1–1
Head to head
0
Kisvarda
3
Draw
2
Ferencvarosi
Oct 2026Kisvarda FC – Ferencvarosi TC1–1
Mar 2026Kisvarda FC – Ferencvarosi TC1–1
Dec 2025Ferencvarosi TC – Kisvarda FC3–0
Dec 2025Kisvarda FC – Ferencvarosi TC0–1
Apr 2024Ferencvarosi TC – Kisvarda FC0–0
NB I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Gyori ETO FC12+722
2Puskas Academy12+221
3Ferencvarosi TC11+1020
4Debreceni VSC12+419
5Ujpest12+318
6Paks12+117
7Vasas12+316
8Budapest Honved11-313
9Zalaegerszegi TE12-613
10Kisvarda FC12-212
Match preview
Our model makes Ferencvarosi TC slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (0.91 for Kisvarda FC, 1.35 for Ferencvarosi TC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kisvarda FC sit 10th on 12 points; Ferencvarosi TC are 3rd on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.