Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 6Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium
Kifisia
7th · 11 pts2–0FULL TIME
Panetolikos
10th · 9 pts52% Kifisia
23% Draw
25% Panetolikos
OUR PICK
Kifisia to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.94
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.19
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.94X4.3223.97
Goals 2.5Over1.74Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.72NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.74
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.72
GG
58%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
KifisiaPanetolikos1.3Goals per game0.9
1.6Conceded per game1.9
1.22Points per game1.00
33%Win rate33%
-2Goal difference-9
9Form, last 5 (pts)0
Kifisia form
LWWLWH Olympiakos Piraeus2–3
A Asteras Tripolis0–2
A Iraklis 19082–3
H Aris Thessalonikis1–2
H Panetolikos2–0
Panetolikos form
LLLLLH OFI0–1
A AEK Athens FC5–0
H Olympiakos Piraeus0–2
A Kifisia2–0
H PAOK1–3
Head to head
2
Kifisia
2
Draw
1
Panetolikos
Oct 2026Kifisia – Panetolikos2–0
May 2026Panetolikos – Kifisia0–1
Apr 2026Kifisia – Panetolikos0–0
Mar 2026Panetolikos – Kifisia2–1
Oct 2025Kifisia – Panetolikos1–1
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos9+1624
2Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
3PAOK9+618
4AEK Athens FC8+1617
5Aris Thessalonikis9-416
6OFI9+216
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata9-411
9Iraklis 19089-210
10Panetolikos9-99
Match preview
Our model makes Kifisia slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.94 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.80 for Kifisia, 1.19 for Panetolikos), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kifisia sit 7th on 11 points; Panetolikos are 10th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.