Over 1.5 goals@1.82
Over 1.5
55%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026
Khenchela
13th · 5 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
ES Setif
9th · 8 pts23% Khenchela
31% Draw
46% ES
OUR PICK
ES Setif to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.19
Expected goals
0.71 – 1.13
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.35X3.1822.19
Goals 2.5Over3.37Under1.39
Both scoreGG2.77NG1.52
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.39
Under 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.52
NG
66%
Double chance@1.30
X2
77%
Season stats
KhenchelaES Setif0.4Goals per game1.3
1.1Conceded per game1.0
0.71Points per game1.14
14%Win rate29%
-5Goal difference2
3Form, last 5 (pts)8
Khenchela form
LLLWA MC Alger2–0
H JS Kabylie0–3
A MC Oran1–0
H CS Constantine2–0
ES Setif form
WLDA ASO Chlef1–2
H Témouchent1–2
H JS Kabylie1–1
Head to head
1
Khenchela
1
Draw
3
ES
Jan 2026ES Setif – Khenchela4–1
Aug 2025Khenchela – ES Setif1–1
May 2025ES Setif – Khenchela0–1
Dec 2024Khenchela – ES Setif2–3
Feb 2024ES Setif – Khenchela2–1
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1CR Belouizdad7+517
2JS Kabylie7+816
3MC Oran7+515
4USM Alger7+514
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8Témouchent8-39
9ES Setif7+28
10JS El Biar808
Match preview
Our model makes ES Setif slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.19 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (0.71 for Khenchela, 1.13 for ES Setif), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Khenchela sit 13th on 5 points; ES Setif are 9th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.