Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
BHRPremier League · Matchday 4Friday, 9 October 2026
Khalidiya
2nd · 15 pts2–2FULL TIME
Muharraq
6th · 8 pts65% Khalidiya
20% Draw
15% Muharraq
OUR PICK
Khalidiya to win
Model probability 65% · fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
2.06 – 0.87
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.54X4.9626.70
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.97
GG
51%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%
Season stats
KhalidiyaMuharraq2.6Goals per game1.2
1.1Conceded per game1.2
2.14Points per game1.33
57%Win rate33%
10Goal difference0
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
Khalidiya form
No recent matches.
Muharraq form
No recent matches.
Head to head
2
Khalidiya
1
Draw
2
Muharraq
Oct 2026Khalidiya – Muharraq2–2
May 2026Khalidiya – Muharraq1–2
Mar 2026Muharraq – Khalidiya0–3
Jan 2026Muharraq – Khalidiya0–1
Apr 2025Khalidiya – Muharraq1–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al Riffa7+1115
2Khalidiya7+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7+514
4Al Ahli709
5East Riffa7-58
6Muharraq608
7Al Najma7-48
8Sitra6+28
9A'Ali6-37
10Al-Hidd606
Match preview
Our model makes Khalidiya clear favourites, giving them a 65% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (2.06 for Khalidiya, 0.87 for Muharraq), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Khalidiya sit 2nd on 15 points; Muharraq are 6th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.