Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
76%
BHRPremier League · Matchday 6Friday, 23 October 2026
Khalidiya
2nd · 15 pts2–2FULL TIME
Al Ittifaq Maqaba
3rd · 14 pts51% Khalidiya
24% Draw
25% Al
OUR PICK
Khalidiya to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.09
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.96X4.1324.06
Goals 2.5Over1.91Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.85NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.85
GG
54%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
KhalidiyaAl Ittifaq Maqaba2.6Goals per game1.6
1.1Conceded per game0.9
2.14Points per game2.00
57%Win rate57%
10Goal difference5
9Form, last 5 (pts)11
Khalidiya form
WLDWLA Manama0–2
H Al Wahda FC1–2
H Al Ittifaq Maqaba2–2
A Al Ahli1–2
A Al Kuwait3–1
Al Ittifaq Maqaba form
WDDWWH Malkiya3–0
A Khalidiya2–2
H Manama2–2
A Al-Hidd0–1
A Al Ahli0–2
Head to head
0
Khalidiya
2
Draw
0
Al
Oct 2026Khalidiya – Al Ittifaq Maqaba2–2
Jan 2024Al Ittifaq Maqaba – Khalidiya2–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al Riffa7+1115
2Khalidiya7+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7+514
4Muharraq7+411
5Al Ahli709
6East Riffa7-58
7Sitra7-28
8Al Najma7-48
9A'Ali7-38
10Al-Hidd707
Match preview
Our model makes Khalidiya slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.96 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.68 for Khalidiya, 1.09 for Al Ittifaq Maqaba), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Khalidiya sit 2nd on 15 points; Al Ittifaq Maqaba are 3rd on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.