Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
89%
MARBotola Pro · Matchday 5Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Stade de Marrakech
Kawkab Marrakech
1st · 13 pts1–1FULL TIME
Difaa EL Jadida
9th · 8 pts59% Kawkab
19% Draw
22% Difaa
OUR PICK
Kawkab Marrakech to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
2.35 – 1.38
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.70X5.1724.61
Goals 2.5Over1.39Under3.37
Both scoreGG1.48NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.39
Over 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.48
GG
68%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
Season stats
Kawkab MarrakechDifaa EL Jadida1.3Goals per game2.2
0.8Conceded per game2.2
2.17Points per game1.33
67%Win rate33%
3Goal difference0
13Form, last 5 (pts)8
Kawkab Marrakech form
WDWWWA Amal Tiznit0–1
H Difaa EL Jadida1–1
A Widad Témara0–1
H Ittihad Tanger2–1
A CODM Meknès0–1
Difaa EL Jadida form
DDWWLH UTS Rabat1–1
A Kawkab Marrakech1–1
H Moghreb Tetouan4–1
A Amal Tiznit2–5
H Wydad AC0–2
Head to head
0
Kawkab
4
Draw
1
Difaa
Oct 2026Kawkab Marrakech – Difaa EL Jadida1–1
Jun 2026Difaa EL Jadida – Kawkab Marrakech1–1
Feb 2026Kawkab Marrakech – Difaa EL Jadida0–0
Aug 2025Difaa EL Jadida – Kawkab Marrakech2–0
Jun 2024Difaa EL Jadida – Kawkab Marrakech0–0
Botola Pro table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Kawkab Marrakech6+313
2CODM Meknès6+511
3Wydad AC6+211
4Ittihad Tanger6+110
5Widad Témara6+39
6FAR Rabat4+38
7Hassania Agadir6+28
8UTS Rabat608
9Difaa EL Jadida608
10Maghreb Fès608
Match preview
Our model makes Kawkab Marrakech clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.70 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (2.35 for Kawkab Marrakech, 1.38 for Difaa EL Jadida), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kawkab Marrakech sit 1st on 13 points; Difaa EL Jadida are 9th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.