Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
JPNJ1 League · Matchday 11Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu
Kawasaki Frontale
7th · 22 pts2–1FULL TIME
Vissel Kobe
5th · 26 pts34% Kawasaki
24% Draw
42% Vissel
OUR PICK
Vissel Kobe to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.38
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.63
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.93X4.1922.38
Goals 2.5Over1.68Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.62NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.68
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.62
GG
62%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Kawasaki FrontaleVissel Kobe2.1Goals per game1.6
1.7Conceded per game0.9
1.69Points per game2.00
46%Win rate62%
5Goal difference9
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
Kawasaki Frontale form
LWWWWA Yokohama F. Marinos4–2
A Sagan Tosu0–2
H Fagiano Okayama2–1
H Vissel Kobe2–1
A Cerezo Osaka2–4
Vissel Kobe form
WWDLWH Nagoya Grampus3–1
A Daejeon Citizen0–1
H Machida Zelvia0–0
A Kawasaki Frontale2–1
A Fagiano Okayama0–3
Head to head
2
Kawasaki
0
Draw
3
Vissel
Oct 2026Kawasaki Frontale – Vissel Kobe2–1
Jun 2025Kawasaki Frontale – Vissel Kobe1–2
Apr 2025Vissel Kobe – Kawasaki Frontale2–1
Aug 2024Kawasaki Frontale – Vissel Kobe3–0
Jun 2024Vissel Kobe – Kawasaki Frontale1–0
J1 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Tokyo13+2330
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima13+2229
3Machida Zelvia13+2028
4Kashiwa Reysol13+1028
5Vissel Kobe13+926
6Kashima13+723
7Kawasaki Frontale13+522
8Yokohama F. Marinos13+621
9Urawa13-621
10Fagiano Okayama13-616
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Kawasaki Frontale 34%, the draw 24%, Vissel Kobe 42%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.45 for Kawasaki Frontale, 1.63 for Vissel Kobe), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kawasaki Frontale sit 7th on 22 points; Vissel Kobe are 5th on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.