Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
JPNJ1 League · Matchday 12Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu
Kawasaki Frontale
7th · 22 pts2–1FULL TIME
Fagiano Okayama
10th · 16 pts60% Kawasaki
20% Draw
20% Fagiano
OUR PICK
Kawasaki Frontale to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.26 – 1.25
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.67X5.0824.94
Goals 2.5Over1.47Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.56NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.56
GG
64%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
Kawasaki FrontaleFagiano Okayama2.1Goals per game1.2
1.7Conceded per game1.6
1.69Points per game1.23
46%Win rate38%
5Goal difference-6
9Form, last 5 (pts)3
Kawasaki Frontale form
LWWWWA Yokohama F. Marinos4–2
A Sagan Tosu0–2
H Fagiano Okayama2–1
H Vissel Kobe2–1
A Cerezo Osaka2–4
Fagiano Okayama form
LLWLDH FC Tokyo0–4
A Kawasaki Frontale2–1
H Mito Hollyhock2–0
H Vissel Kobe0–3
A Nagoya Grampus3–3
Head to head
1
Kawasaki
3
Draw
0
Fagiano
Oct 2026Kawasaki Frontale – Fagiano Okayama2–1
Nov 2025Kawasaki Frontale – Fagiano Okayama1–1
Mar 2025Fagiano Okayama – Kawasaki Frontale0–0
Aug 2019Kawasaki Frontale – Fagiano Okayama0–0
J1 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Tokyo13+2330
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima13+2229
3Machida Zelvia13+2028
4Kashiwa Reysol13+1028
5Vissel Kobe13+926
6Kashima13+723
7Kawasaki Frontale13+522
8Yokohama F. Marinos13+621
9Urawa13-621
10Fagiano Okayama13-616
Match preview
Our model makes Kawasaki Frontale clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.26 for Kawasaki Frontale, 1.25 for Fagiano Okayama), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kawasaki Frontale sit 7th on 22 points; Fagiano Okayama are 10th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.