Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2Thursday, 22 October 2026 · National Football Academy
Kauno Žalgiris
36th · 0 pts1–4FULL TIME
Brann
3rd · 6 pts25% Kauno
22% Draw
53% Brann
OUR PICK
Brann to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.90
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.02X4.4721.89
Goals 2.5Over1.65Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.65NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.65
GG
60%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
Kauno ŽalgirisBrann0.5Goals per game3.0
4.0Conceded per game1.0
0.00Points per game3.00
0%Win rate100%
-7Goal difference4
0Form, last 5 (pts)6
Kauno Žalgiris form
WDLWLA Hegelmann Litauen1–4
H FK Zalgiris Vilnius0–0
H Brann1–4
A Suduva Marijampole0–1
A Brighton4–0
Brann form
WWLWLH Molde3–2
A Grorud0–2
A Lillestrom3–2
A Kauno Žalgiris1–4
A Valerenga3–1
Head to head
0
Kauno
0
Draw
1
Brann
Oct 2026Kauno Žalgiris – Brann1–4
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model makes Brann slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.89 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.24 for Kauno Žalgiris, 1.90 for Brann), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kauno Žalgiris sit 36th on 0 points; Brann are 3rd on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.