Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
77%
NGANPFL · Matchday 10Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Muhammadu Dikko Stadium
Katsina United
9th · 16 pts2–2FULL TIME
Plateau United
6th · 16 pts36% Katsina
25% Draw
39% Plateau
OUR PICK
Plateau United to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.59
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.42
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.78X3.9422.59
Goals 2.5Over1.90Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.77NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.90
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.77
GG
56%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Katsina UnitedPlateau United1.3Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.3
1.45Points per game1.45
36%Win rate36%
-1Goal difference4
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
Katsina United form
WDLWDH Sporting Lagos2–1
H Plateau United2–2
A Kano Pillars1–0
H Enyimba4–2
A Inter Lagos1–1
Plateau United form
DDLWLH Warri Wolves1–1
A Katsina United2–2
H Sporting Lagos2–3
H Kano Pillars4–0
A Enyimba2–0
Head to head
2
Katsina
2
Draw
1
Plateau
Oct 2026Katsina United – Plateau United2–2
Jan 2026Katsina United – Plateau United0–0
Aug 2025Plateau United – Katsina United1–2
Jan 2025Katsina United – Plateau United1–0
Sept 2024Plateau United – Katsina United1–0
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Katsina United 36%, the draw 25%, Plateau United 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.36 for Katsina United, 1.42 for Plateau United), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Katsina United sit 9th on 16 points; Plateau United are 6th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.