Over 1.5 goals@1.59
Over 1.5
63%
NGANPFL · Matchday 8Friday, 9 October 2026 · Muhammadu Dikko Stadium
Katsina United
9th · 16 pts4–2FULL TIME
Enyimba
17th · 11 pts38% Katsina
30% Draw
32% Enyimba
OUR PICK
Katsina United to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.63
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.01
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.63X3.3723.09
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.56
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.75
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.56
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.75
NG
57%
Double chance@1.42
12
70%
Season stats
Katsina UnitedEnyimba1.3Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game1.4
1.45Points per game1.00
36%Win rate27%
-1Goal difference-3
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
Katsina United form
WDLWDH Sporting Lagos2–1
H Plateau United2–2
A Kano Pillars1–0
H Enyimba4–2
A Inter Lagos1–1
Enyimba form
WLDLWH Kun Khalifat FC1–0
A Nasarawa United1–0
H Warri Wolves0–0
A Katsina United4–2
H Plateau United2–0
Head to head
3
Katsina
0
Draw
2
Enyimba
Oct 2026Katsina United – Enyimba4–2
Apr 2026Enyimba – Katsina United3–0
Nov 2025Katsina United – Enyimba3–2
Feb 2025Katsina United – Enyimba2–1
Oct 2024Enyimba – Katsina United3–0
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Katsina United 38%, the draw 30%, Enyimba 32%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.63 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.12 for Katsina United, 1.01 for Enyimba), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Katsina United sit 9th on 16 points; Enyimba are 17th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.