Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 15Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · Toyama Stadium
Kataller Toyama
3rd · 25 pts05:55KICK-OFF WAT
Vegalta Sendai
1st · 27 pts46% Kataller
25% Draw
29% Vegalta
OUR PICK
Kataller Toyama to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.20
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.16
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.20X3.9323.45
Goals 2.5Over1.99Under1.89
Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Over 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.86
GG
54%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Kataller ToyamaVegalta Sendai1.9Goals per game1.6
1.0Conceded per game0.9
1.79Points per game1.93
50%Win rate57%
12Goal difference10
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
Kataller Toyama form
No recent matches.
Vegalta Sendai form
LLWDWH Omiya Ardija1–2
A Albirex Niigata2–1
H Imabari3–1
H Tokushima Vortis0–0
A Montedio Yamagata0–1
Head to head
0
Kataller
0
Draw
0
Vegalta
These sides haven't met recently.
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Kataller Toyama slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.20 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.52 for Kataller Toyama, 1.16 for Vegalta Sendai), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kataller Toyama sit 3rd on 25 points; Vegalta Sendai are 1st on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.