Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 10Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Toyama Stadium
Kataller Toyama
3rd · 25 pts1–1FULL TIME
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
6th · 23 pts55% Kataller
23% Draw
23% Tegevajaro
OUR PICK
Kataller Toyama to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.10
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.83X4.3924.43
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.78NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.78
GG
56%
Double chance@1.29
1X
77%
Season stats
Kataller ToyamaTegevajaro Miyazaki1.9Goals per game1.5
1.0Conceded per game1.1
1.79Points per game1.64
50%Win rate43%
12Goal difference5
8Form, last 5 (pts)11
Kataller Toyama form
DWLWDH Vegalta Sendai0–0
A Albirex Niigata2–3
H Consadole Sapporo0–1
A Omiya Ardija0–3
H Shonan Bellmare1–1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki form
WWWDDH Oita Trinita2–0
A Montedio Yamagata0–2
H Blaublitz Akita2–1
H Jubilo Iwata1–1
A Kataller Toyama1–1
Head to head
2
Kataller
3
Draw
0
Tegevajaro
Oct 2026Kataller Toyama – Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1
Sept 2026Tegevajaro Miyazaki – Kataller Toyama1–2
May 2026Kataller Toyama – Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–0
Oct 2024Tegevajaro Miyazaki – Kataller Toyama1–1
May 2024Kataller Toyama – Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Kataller Toyama clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.83 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.84 for Kataller Toyama, 1.10 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kataller Toyama sit 3rd on 25 points; Tegevajaro Miyazaki are 6th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.