Over 1.5 goals@1.08
Over 1.5
92%
JPNJ1 League · Matchday 14Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
Kashiwa Reysol
4th · 28 pts08:00KICK-OFF WAT
Kawasaki Frontale
7th · 22 pts56% Kashiwa
19% Draw
25% Kawasaki
OUR PICK
Kashiwa Reysol to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.79
Expected goals
2.53 – 1.70
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.79X5.3223.93
Goals 2.5Over1.26Under4.49
Both scoreGG1.33NG3.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.26
Over 2.5
79%
Both teams to score@1.33
GG
75%
Double chance@1.23
12
81%
Season stats
Kashiwa ReysolKawasaki Frontale2.2Goals per game2.1
1.5Conceded per game1.7
2.15Points per game1.69
69%Win rate46%
10Goal difference5
10Form, last 5 (pts)9
Kashiwa Reysol form
WDWDLH Urawa4–0
A Ratchaburi0–0
A Kashima2–3
A FC Tokyo0–0
H Nagoya Grampus1–3
Kawasaki Frontale form
LWWWWA Yokohama F. Marinos4–2
A Sagan Tosu0–2
H Fagiano Okayama2–1
H Vissel Kobe2–1
A Cerezo Osaka2–4
Head to head
2
Kashiwa
1
Draw
2
Kawasaki
May 2026Kashiwa Reysol – Kawasaki Frontale1–0
Feb 2026Kawasaki Frontale – Kashiwa Reysol5–3
Oct 2025Kashiwa Reysol – Kawasaki Frontale4–1
Oct 2025Kawasaki Frontale – Kashiwa Reysol3–1
Sept 2025Kawasaki Frontale – Kashiwa Reysol4–4
J1 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Tokyo13+2330
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima13+2229
3Machida Zelvia13+2028
4Kashiwa Reysol13+1028
5Vissel Kobe13+926
6Kashima13+723
7Kawasaki Frontale13+522
8Yokohama F. Marinos13+621
9Urawa13-621
10Fagiano Okayama13-616
Match preview
Our model makes Kashiwa Reysol clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.79 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.2 goals in total (2.53 for Kashiwa Reysol, 1.70 for Kawasaki Frontale), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kashiwa Reysol sit 4th on 28 points; Kawasaki Frontale are 7th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.