Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium
Kasımpaşa
5th · 17 pts2–2FULL TIME
Beşiktaş
4th · 19 pts39% Kasımpaşa
26% Draw
35% Beşiktaş
OUR PICK
Kasımpaşa to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.58
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.28
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.58X3.8322.85
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.86
GG
54%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
KasımpaşaBeşiktaş1.5Goals per game2.0
1.1Conceded per game1.2
1.70Points per game1.90
40%Win rate60%
4Goal difference8
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
Kasımpaşa form
DWWWLH Beşiktaş2–2
H Çorluspor 19473–1
A Eyüpspor0–1
H Samsunspor4–1
A Galatasaray3–1
Beşiktaş form
DWDLWA Kasımpaşa2–2
H Başakşehir2–0
H Crystal Palace2–2
A Trabzonspor2–0
A 1899 Hoffenheim2–3
Head to head
0
Kasımpaşa
0
Draw
0
Beşiktaş
These sides haven't met recently.
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Kasımpaşa 39%, the draw 26%, Beşiktaş 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.36 for Kasımpaşa, 1.28 for Beşiktaş), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kasımpaşa sit 5th on 17 points; Beşiktaş are 4th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.