Over 1.5 goals@1.36
Over 1.5
73%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 9Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Ukraina Stadium
Karpaty
5th · 19 pts2–2FULL TIME
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
10th · 9 pts74% Karpaty
18% Draw
8% Epitsentr
OUR PICK
Karpaty to win
Model probability 74% · fair odds
1.35
Expected goals
2.09 – 0.52
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.35X5.61212.52
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.94
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.55
NG
64%
Double chance@1.09
1X
92%
Season stats
KarpatyEpitsentr Dunayivtsi2.0Goals per game0.9
0.7Conceded per game1.4
1.73Points per game0.82
45%Win rate18%
14Goal difference-5
6Form, last 5 (pts)1
Karpaty form
WWDDLH Kudrivka5–0
H Oleksandria2–1
A Chornomorets0–0
H Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2
A Dynamo Kyiv1–0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi form
WLDLDA Chernihiv1–2
H FC Kharkiv1–2
A Karpaty2–2
A Kolos Kovalivka3–1
A Bukovyna0–0
Head to head
1
Karpaty
2
Draw
2
Epitsentr
Oct 2026Karpaty – Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2
Apr 2026Epitsentr Dunayivtsi – Karpaty0–0
Oct 2025Karpaty – Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1–3
Nov 2023Epitsentr Dunayivtsi – Karpaty3–2
Sept 2023Karpaty – Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3Dynamo Kyiv10+722
4FC Kharkiv9+1121
5Karpaty11+1419
6Zorya Luhansk11018
7LNZ Cherkasy10+115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi11-59
Match preview
Our model makes Karpaty clear favourites, giving them a 74% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.35 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (2.09 for Karpaty, 0.52 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Karpaty sit 5th on 19 points; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are 10th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.