Over 1.5 goals@2.30
Over 1.5
44%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 33Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Nyamhunga Stadium
Kariba
14th · 33 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
CAPS United
5th · 51 pts23% Kariba
36% Draw
41% CAPS
OUR PICK
CAPS United to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.46
Expected goals
0.59 – 0.89
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.35X2.7522.46
Goals 2.5Over4.97Under1.23
Both scoreGG3.63NG1.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.23
Under 2.5
81%
Both teams to score@1.36
NG
74%
Double chance@1.30
X2
77%
Season stats
KaribaCAPS United0.6Goals per game1.1
0.8Conceded per game0.8
1.03Points per game1.59
19%Win rate41%
-9Goal difference10
5Form, last 5 (pts)8
Kariba form
DLWLDA Chicken Inn0–0
H Agama0–1
H Scotland Mabvuku1–0
A Platinum1–0
H Simba Bhora0–0
CAPS United form
LWDWDH Scotland Mabvuku0–1
A Platinum0–2
H Simba Bhora0–0
A MWOS0–1
H Dynamos1–1
Head to head
1
Kariba
2
Draw
2
CAPS
Jun 2026CAPS United – Kariba3–2
Aug 2025CAPS United – Kariba1–3
May 2025Kariba – CAPS United0–0
Aug 2024Kariba – CAPS United0–1
Apr 2024CAPS United – Kariba1–1
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model makes CAPS United slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 36% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.5 goals in total (0.59 for Kariba, 0.89 for CAPS United), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kariba sit 14th on 33 points; CAPS United are 5th on 51.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.