Over 1.5 goals@1.66
Over 1.5
60%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 8Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Naa Sheriga Sports Centre
Karela
14th · 9 pts1–2FULL TIME
Port City
3rd · 15 pts30% Karela
30% Draw
40% Port
OUR PICK
Port City to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.52
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.11
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.35X3.2922.52
Goals 2.5Over2.86Under1.50
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.68
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.50
Under 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.68
NG
60%
Double chance@1.43
X2
70%
Season stats
KarelaPort City1.0Goals per game1.2
1.4Conceded per game0.8
1.13Points per game1.67
38%Win rate44%
-3Goal difference4
6Form, last 5 (pts)8
Karela form
DLLWLA Young Apostles0–0
H Port City1–2
A Swedru All Blacks2–0
H Dreams1–0
A Asante Kotoko1–0
Port City form
DWDLWA Vision0–0
A Karela1–2
H Dreams1–1
A Hearts of Oak1–0
H Bechem United3–1
Head to head
0
Karela
0
Draw
1
Port
Oct 2026Karela – Port City1–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama8+717
2Hearts of Oak8+717
3Port City9+415
4Samartex8+415
5Swedru All Blacks8+314
6Bechem United8+213
7Aduana Stars8+213
8Basake Holy Stars8-312
9Asante Kotoko8012
10Berekum Chelsea8+111
Match preview
Our model makes Port City slight favourites, giving them a 40% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (0.92 for Karela, 1.11 for Port City), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Karela sit 14th on 9 points; Port City are 3rd on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.