Over 1.5 goals@1.69
Over 1.5
59%
NGANPFL · Matchday 11Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Sani Abacha Stadium
Kano Pillars
4th · 18 pts2–0FULL TIME
Nasarawa United
5th · 17 pts36% Kano
31% Draw
33% Nasarawa
OUR PICK
Kano Pillars to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.75
Expected goals
1.03 – 0.96
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.75X3.2323.06
Goals 2.5Over2.95Under1.47
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.66
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Under 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.66
NG
60%
Double chance@1.45
12
69%
Season stats
Kano PillarsNasarawa United1.3Goals per game1.0
1.0Conceded per game0.9
1.64Points per game1.55
36%Win rate45%
3Goal difference1
8Form, last 5 (pts)10
Kano Pillars form
No recent matches.
Nasarawa United form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Kano
0
Draw
0
Nasarawa
These sides haven't met recently.
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Kano Pillars 36%, the draw 31%, Nasarawa United 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.75 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.03 for Kano Pillars, 0.96 for Nasarawa United), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kano Pillars sit 4th on 18 points; Nasarawa United are 5th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.