Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 28Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Guldfågeln Arena
Kalmar FF
13th · 23 pts16:30KICK-OFF WAT
Sirius
2nd · 55 pts18% Kalmar
21% Draw
61% Sirius
OUR PICK
Sirius to win
Model probability 61% · fair odds
1.64
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.97
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.62X4.6821.64
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.88NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.88
GG
53%
Double chance@1.22
X2
82%
Season stats
Kalmar FFSirius0.9Goals per game2.2
1.6Conceded per game1.3
0.85Points per game2.12
22%Win rate65%
-19Goal difference22
4Form, last 5 (pts)7
Kalmar FF form
DLLWLA Mjallby AIF0–0
H Gais0–1
H IF Brommapojkarna0–3
A Degerfors IF1–2
A Malmo FF1–0
Sirius form
LLDWA Hammarby FF2–0
H AIK Stockholm1–2
H IF Elfsborg2–2
A Gais0–1
Head to head
0
Kalmar
1
Draw
4
Sirius
May 2026Sirius – Kalmar FF3–2
Aug 2024Sirius – Kalmar FF3–1
Apr 2024Kalmar FF – Sirius1–2
Aug 2023Sirius – Kalmar FF3–0
May 2023Kalmar FF – Sirius2–2
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm27-438
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais27+737
Match preview
Our model makes Sirius clear favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (0.96 for Kalmar FF, 1.97 for Sirius), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kalmar FF sit 13th on 23 points; Sirius are 2nd on 55.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.