Over 1.5 goals@1.60
Over 1.5
63%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 26Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Guldfågeln Arena
Kalmar FF
13th · 22 pts0–1FULL TIME
Gais
10th · 34 pts25% Kalmar
29% Draw
46% Gais
OUR PICK
Gais to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.16
Expected goals
0.85 – 1.27
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.02X3.4622.16
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.55
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.55
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.70
NG
59%
Double chance@1.33
X2
75%
Season stats
Kalmar FFGais0.9Goals per game1.2
1.6Conceded per game1.0
0.85Points per game1.31
23%Win rate35%
-19Goal difference6
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
Kalmar FF form
LLWLDH Gais0–1
H IF Brommapojkarna0–3
A Degerfors IF1–2
A Malmo FF1–0
A IFK Norrkoping0–0
Gais form
WDLLWA Kalmar FF0–1
H IFK Goteborg1–1
A Orgryte IS4–2
H Sirius0–1
A Mjallby AIF0–3
Head to head
0
Kalmar
1
Draw
3
Gais
Oct 2026Kalmar FF – Gais0–1
May 2026Gais – Kalmar FF3–0
Aug 2024Gais – Kalmar FF1–1
Apr 2024Kalmar FF – Gais2–3
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes Gais slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.16 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (0.85 for Kalmar FF, 1.27 for Gais), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kalmar FF sit 13th on 22 points; Gais are 10th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.